Nikola Vučević
28
Points Stability
15.0
Median PTS
17.1
Mean PTS
0.37
CV
8.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
11.4
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
12.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
15.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
21.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
24.6
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
8
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
31
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 15 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs UTA | 31 | 35 | 14-22 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ HOU | 37 | 14 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs DAL | 29 | 15 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ DET | 32 | 20 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ BOS | 36 | 15 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs CHA | 34 | 28 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs ORL | 35 | 17 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs NOP | 34 | 17 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs MIN | 30 | 23 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs MIL | 26 | 16 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs PHI | 29 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ ATL | 31 | 21 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ ATL | 30 | 13 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ CLE | 32 | 24 | 11-20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/17 | vs CLE | 29 | 20 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs NOP | 31 | 12 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | @ CHA | 22 | 13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ PHI | 17 | 8 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs WAS | 28 | 15 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs MIA | 35 | 20 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |