Nick Smith Jr.
7
Points Stability
8.5
Median PTS
11.4
Mean PTS
0.74
CV
10.3
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.7
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
7.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
8.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
17.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
19.9
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
28
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs ATL | 4 | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ SAC | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/07 | @ SAS | 10 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ NOP | 10 | - | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MEM | 15 | - | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/02 | vs MEM | 16 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs DET | 17 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs SAC | 24 | 21 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ PHX | 28 | 12 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ LAC | 22 | 9 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ UTA | 5 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/11 | @ BOS | 17 | 9 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ TOR | 37 | 28 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs MEM | 14 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs CHI | 22 | 8 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |