Moritz Wagner
25
Points Stability
12.5
Median PTS
12.9
Mean PTS
0.46
CV
6.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
7.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
10.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
12.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
16.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
18.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
32
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs DET | 13 | 9 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs HOU | 15 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ LAL | 11 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ LAC | 11 | 9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ PHX | 12 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | @ SAC | 18 | 11 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs MIL | 17 | 12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs MIL | 16 | 14 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs UTA | 17 | 13 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs BKN | 12 | 14 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ OKC | 13 | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ SAS | 8 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/30 | vs TOR | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | @ MIA | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | @ CLE | 12 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs CLE | 13 | 13 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1.00 |
| 01/22 | vs CHA | 15 | 14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | vs MEM | 14 | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs NOP | 10 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | vs MIA | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/19 | vs OKC | 19 | 10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs NYK | 26 | 32 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 8-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | @ MIL | 19 | 13 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs PHX | 17 | 10 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/06 | @ PHI | 18 | 12 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/04 | @ PHI | 21 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/03 | @ NYK | 28 | 20 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 0.00 |
| 12/01 | @ BKN | 16 | 12 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/29 | @ BKN | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/27 | vs CHI | 18 | 15 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 11/25 | @ CHA | 26 | 16 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/23 | vs DET | 28 | 18 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/21 | @ LAL | 18 | 19 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 11/20 | @ LAC | 17 | 10 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 11/18 | @ PHX | 12 | 9 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |