Moritz Wagner
25
Points Stability
12.5
Median PTS
12.9
Mean PTS
0.46
CV
6.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
7.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
10.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
12.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
16.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
18.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
32
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | vs NOP | 10 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | vs MIA | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/19 | vs OKC | 19 | 10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs NYK | 26 | 32 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 8-11 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | @ MIL | 19 | 13 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs PHX | 17 | 10 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/06 | @ PHI | 18 | 12 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/04 | @ PHI | 21 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/03 | @ NYK | 28 | 20 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 0.00 |
| 12/01 | @ BKN | 16 | 12 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/29 | @ BKN | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/27 | vs CHI | 18 | 15 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 11/25 | @ CHA | 26 | 16 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/23 | vs DET | 28 | 18 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/21 | @ LAL | 18 | 19 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 11/20 | @ LAC | 17 | 10 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 11/18 | @ PHX | 12 | 9 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 11/15 | vs PHI | 20 | 14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/13 | vs IND | 18 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/12 | vs CHA | 24 | 18 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 11/10 | vs WAS | 23 | 16 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 11/08 | vs NOP | 18 | 17 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/06 | @ IND | 15 | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 11/04 | @ OKC | 21 | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 11/03 | @ DAL | 21 | 10 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/01 | @ CLE | 28 | 14 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 0.00 |
| 10/30 | @ CHI | 16 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 10/28 | vs IND | 16 | 14 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 10/26 | @ MEM | 12 | 9 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 10/25 | vs BKN | 15 | 18 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 10/23 | @ MIA | 16 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |