Marvin Bagley III
0
Points Stability
2.0
Median PTS
6.5
Mean PTS
1.29
CV
10.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
0.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
2.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
20.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
25
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ LAC | 27 | 15 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 16 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ PHI | 16 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs ORL | 17 | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIN | 14 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs BKN | 17 | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ MIL | 20 | 9 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs PHX | 22 | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs MEM | 22 | 14 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs TOR | 22 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CHA | 21 | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ MEM | 22 | 16 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ SAS | 19 | 13 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ IND | 32 | 23 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs CLE | 33 | 15 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs DAL | 31 | 25 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/10 | vs MIN | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/08 | @ CHA | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/01 | vs GSW | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs BOS | 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | @ LAC | 1 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/19 | @ POR | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/15 | vs MIA | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/14 | vs CLE | 4 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/10 | vs PHX | 22 | 9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |