Marcus Smart
8
Points Stability
9.5
Median PTS
10.0
Mean PTS
0.64
CV
7.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
2.7
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
17.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
26
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs ATL | 29 | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ SAC | 31 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs MIL | 30 | 9 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ SAS | 34 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ NOP | 37 | 13 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MEM | 31 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs MEM | 34 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs DET | 25 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs SAC | 20 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/25 | vs HOU | 29 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ PHX | 30 | 14 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ LAC | 31 | 5 | 1-12 | 0-9 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ UTA | 28 | 17 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ PHX | 32 | 8 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | vs SAS | 28 | 26 | 9-16 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/03 | vs ORL | 25 | 12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs MIA | 20 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | vs BKN | 7 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs TOR | 12 | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | @ NYK | 24 | 17 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | @ UTA | 14 | - | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/13 | @ DET | 24 | 15 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/11 | @ DET | 21 | 16 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | @ TOR | 18 | 9 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | vs UTA | 18 | 13 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |