KJ Simpson
23
Points Stability
9.5
Median PTS
9.2
Mean PTS
0.45
CV
4.3
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
6.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
9.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
11.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
14.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
18
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/18 | vs ATL | 13 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ CLE | 19 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs CHI | 25 | 10 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ BOS | 32 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ BOS | 34 | 11 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ TOR | 33 | 6 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs MEM | 15 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | vs CHI | 32 | 18 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs SAC | 33 | 13 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ IND | 31 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs UTA | 32 | 10 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | @ NOP | 35 | 9 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ TOR | 25 | 14 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs ORL | 16 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | @ MIA | 22 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | @ OKC | 33 | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | @ DAL | 31 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ GSW | 36 | 16 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ BKN | 30 | 9 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ DET | 32 | 10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | vs SAS | 19 | 12 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs MIL | 28 | 15 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs WAS | 24 | 9 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs DEN | 27 | 8 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | vs LAC | 25 | 9 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |