Jonas Valančiūnas
16
Points Stability
8.5
Median PTS
9.5
Mean PTS
0.55
CV
7.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
4.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
6.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
8.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
15.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
23
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 50 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31 | @ TOR | 23 | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ MIA | 16 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ ORL | 10 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs MIN | 10 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ DAL | 14 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs UTA | 16 | 12 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs HOU | 16 | 10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs ORL | 13 | 10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs HOU | 14 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | @ SAC | 19 | 15 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs PHX | 21 | 22 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs LAC | 10 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs DEN | 9 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/07 | @ DET | 13 | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ CLE | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ CHA | 19 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ WAS | 13 | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ IND | 8 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ ORL | 11 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs POR | 11 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs OKC | 8 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs BOS | 13 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | vs MIL | 27 | 18 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | vs CHI | 15 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs CLE | 25 | 12 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | vs MEM | 16 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ PHX | 12 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | @ GSW | 14 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs NYK | 22 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | @ LAC | 42 | 9 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | vs SAS | 27 | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | @ DEN | 32 | 19 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/03 | @ DAL | 23 | 14 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | @ HOU | 30 | 15 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ UTA | 14 | 15 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | vs CHA | 14 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | vs GSW | 9 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/13 | @ NOP | 14 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | @ NOP | 15 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ DAL | 18 | 13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | vs NOP | 14 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | @ POR | 17 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ CHA | 29 | 14 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ MIN | 30 | 13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs LAL | 18 | 5 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs TOR | 23 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | @ DAL | 19 | 9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ PHX | 17 | 16 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | @ LAC | 18 | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/21 | @ LAL | 19 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | @ SAC | 23 | 23 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1.00 |
| 01/18 | @ GSW | 18 | 5 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | vs PHX | 15 | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | vs MIN | 19 | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | vs OKC | 18 | 11 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |