Jared McCain
0
Points Stability
13.5
Median PTS
14.2
Mean PTS
0.70
CV
15.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.5
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
13.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
20.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
28.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
34
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
8.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 82 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs CLE | 10 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ TOR | 6 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ TOR | 9 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | @ ORL | 5 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs WAS | 11 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs DEN | 19 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | @ NYK | 18 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ DAL | 14 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | @ MEM | 13 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ OKC | 23 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ CHI | 17 | 6 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs BKN | 39 | 10 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs DAL | 30 | 12 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ NYK | 21 | 12 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ ATL | 18 | - | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/12 | vs IND | 14 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/13 | vs IND | 29 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | @ CHI | 28 | 11 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/06 | vs ORL | 21 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/04 | vs ORL | 39 | 24 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/03 | @ CHA | 22 | 17 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/30 | @ DET | 29 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/27 | vs HOU | 41 | 15 | 6-19 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/24 | vs LAC | 28 | 18 | 3-15 | 2-11 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 11/22 | vs BKN | 39 | 30 | 11-20 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 11/20 | @ MEM | 41 | 20 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 11/18 | @ MIA | 37 | 20 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/15 | @ ORL | 31 | 29 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/13 | vs CLE | 38 | 34 | 12-26 | 6-13 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/12 | vs NYK | 30 | 23 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 11/10 | vs CHA | 31 | 27 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/08 | @ LAL | 31 | 18 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/06 | @ LAC | 12 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 11/04 | @ PHX | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 11/02 | vs MEM | 17 | 19 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 10/30 | vs DET | 22 | 12 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 10/27 | @ IND | 17 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 10/25 | @ TOR | 4 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 10/23 | vs MIL | 4 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |