Jalen Smith
22
Points Stability
5.5
Median PTS
7.4
Mean PTS
0.59
CV
7.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
5.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
11.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
13.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
14
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs UTA | 17 | 12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/13 | @ HOU | 36 | 14 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs DAL | 16 | 7 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs CHA | 15 | 9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs ORL | 27 | 11 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs NOP | 26 | 14 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs MIN | 26 | 12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs MIL | 22 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs PHI | 22 | 12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ ATL | 12 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ ATL | 13 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ CLE | 15 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/17 | vs CLE | 16 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs NOP | 12 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | @ CHA | 17 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |