Jake LaRavia
15
Points Stability
4.5
Median PTS
5.2
Mean PTS
0.86
CV
5.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
4.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
7.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
12.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
15
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs ATL | 36 | 17 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ SAC | 31 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs MIL | 34 | 13 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ SAS | 39 | 16 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ NOP | 35 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MEM | 35 | 26 | 9-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs MEM | 37 | 21 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs DET | 38 | 9 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs SAC | 25 | 11 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs HOU | 23 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ PHX | 29 | 12 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ LAC | 37 | 12 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ UTA | 28 | 12 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ PHX | 21 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | vs SAS | 9 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/25 | vs OKC | 21 | 11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs BOS | 17 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | vs MIL | 28 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | vs CHI | 22 | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | vs MEM | 23 | 12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ PHX | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | @ GSW | 21 | 13 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | @ LAC | 31 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | vs SAS | 27 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | @ DEN | 24 | 15 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/03 | @ DAL | 28 | 8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | @ HOU | 16 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | @ UTA | 15 | - | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/24 | vs CHA | 16 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/21 | vs GSW | 16 | - | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/13 | @ NOP | 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | @ NOP | 11 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1.00 |
| 02/10 | @ DAL | 13 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | vs NOP | 12 | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ TOR | 4 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1.00 |