Herbert Jones
17
Points Stability
10.0
Median PTS
10.6
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
7.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.6
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
8.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
10.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
15.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
18.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
18
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | vs LAL | 35 | 3 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | vs DAL | 22 | 9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs IND | 12 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs HOU | 38 | 18 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ CHI | 20 | 10 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs POR | 14 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs SAS | 26 | 17 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | vs POR | 18 | - | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/07 | vs MIN | 32 | 10 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ WAS | 38 | 11 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs WAS | 33 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ MIA | 39 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs LAC | 33 | 18 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs MEM | 28 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs HOU | 31 | 10 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |