Dru Smith
4
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
6.1
Mean PTS
0.76
CV
8.8
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
11.6
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
13
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 50 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs PHX | 9 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ OKC | 17 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ IND | 12 | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ MIN | 6 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs NOP | 19 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs MIN | 14 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ DET | 15 | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs DEN | 21 | 11 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs IND | 23 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ ATL | 19 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs TOR | 17 | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ NYK | 18 | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ BOS | 21 | 7 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ BKN | 24 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs TOR | 20 | 11 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/09 | @ ORL | 8 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs BKN | 7 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/21 | @ ORL | 26 | 13 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs OKC | 30 | 13 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/16 | @ DET | 31 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs TOR | 34 | 11 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | vs CLE | 26 | 11 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/07 | vs PHX | 29 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/04 | vs LAL | 12 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/02 | @ BOS | 21 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/18 | vs PHI | 25 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/02 | @ WAS | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 10/30 | vs NYK | 16 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 10/26 | @ CHA | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 10/23 | vs ORL | 6 | - | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |