Doug McDermott
9
Points Stability
1.5
Median PTS
3.5
Mean PTS
1.16
CV
7.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
0.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
1.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
7.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
9.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
9
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
1.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | vs DAL | 5 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/02 | @ PHX | 16 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | @ LAC | 7 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ LAL | 12 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs DAL | 19 | 9 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs DEN | 3 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/13 | vs PHX | 15 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs DEN | 15 | 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/07 | @ DET | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/04 | @ CHA | 6 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ ORL | 13 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs OKC | 4 | 9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | @ GSW | 3 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/10 | vs NYK | 5 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/05 | @ DEN | 5 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |