Donovan Mitchell
5
Points Stability
24.5
Median PTS
24.6
Mean PTS
0.40
CV
9.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
14.6
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
17.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
24.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
27.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
38.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
7
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
48
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/24 | vs NYK | 31 | 23 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 11-14 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ OKC | 35 | 20 | 9-19 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ CHA | 34 | 32 | 9-22 | 2-7 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs BKN | 21 | 17 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs WAS | 28 | 30 | 11-19 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ DEN | 34 | 32 | 11-23 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ SAC | 35 | 35 | 13-24 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 1.00 |
| 02/04 | @ LAC | 30 | 29 | 10-19 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ POR | 31 | 14 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | @ PHX | 28 | 16 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | vs LAL | 29 | 25 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/26 | vs ORL | 35 | 45 | 15-25 | 5-8 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | @ ORL | 38 | 36 | 15-30 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | vs SAC | 34 | 33 | 11-25 | 5-12 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/21 | @ CHA | 37 | 24 | 8-20 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | vs OKC | 35 | 19 | 5-18 | 1-9 | 8-11 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | @ PHI | 39 | 13 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | @ PHI | 33 | 35 | 11-22 | 5-12 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | vs UTA | 34 | 21 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | vs MIN | 31 | 28 | 9-21 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | @ MIN | 37 | 30 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs DET | 33 | 30 | 10-21 | 3-10 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs DEN | 35 | 33 | 14-24 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs PHX | 30 | 34 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 10-12 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ SAS | 35 | 10 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 0.00 |