Derrick Jones Jr.
18
Points Stability
7.5
Median PTS
8.4
Mean PTS
0.59
CV
5.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
15.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
3
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
18
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03 | vs BOS | 25 | 19 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs UTA | 24 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs SAC | 20 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs DET | 18 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ GSW | 18 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ SAC | 25 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs HOU | 35 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/08 | vs SAS | 26 | 18 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/05 | vs DAL | 17 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | vs DAL | 23 | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs NOP | 19 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ ORL | 19 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/30 | @ CLE | 30 | 15 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ BKN | 15 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/26 | @ NYK | 18 | 12 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |