Derrick Jones Jr.
18
Points Stability
7.5
Median PTS
8.4
Mean PTS
0.59
CV
5.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
10.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
15.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
3
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
18
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs NOP | 28 | 17 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs MIN | 32 | 18 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | vs ORL | 32 | 6 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ LAL | 39 | 13 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/19 | vs DEN | 34 | 22 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | @ HOU | 30 | 12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ HOU | 27 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ MIN | 28 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/06 | @ SAC | 27 | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/04 | vs CLE | 21 | 7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs BOS | 25 | 19 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs UTA | 24 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs SAC | 20 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs DET | 18 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ GSW | 18 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |