Dereck Lively II
22
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
8.7
Mean PTS
0.56
CV
5.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
4.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
5.8
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
11.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
14.3
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
21
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 20 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | vs TOR | 18 | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs LAL | 15 | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/05 | @ LAC | 15 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | vs ATL | 16 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs DEN | 4 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/12 | vs DEN | 27 | 14 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs POR | 35 | 21 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs LAL | 19 | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ MEM | 33 | 14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs CLE | 27 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ HOU | 20 | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs MIN | 30 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs POR | 16 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | vs LAC | 28 | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | vs LAC | 28 | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | @ GSW | 30 | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | @ OKC | 31 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/07 | @ TOR | 27 | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/05 | @ WAS | 19 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/03 | vs MEM | 32 | 17 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0.00 |
| 11/30 | @ UTA | 23 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/27 | vs NYK | 29 | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/25 | @ ATL | 11 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 11/24 | @ MIA | 31 | 14 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/22 | @ DEN | 20 | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |