DeMar DeRozan
32
Points Stability
22.0
Median PTS
22.1
Mean PTS
0.32
CV
6.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
11.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
19.3
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
22.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
26.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
31.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
8
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
37
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | vs NYK | 41 | 27 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | vs LAL | 37 | 32 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs HOU | 37 | 22 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | @ GSW | 35 | 24 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs DAL | 37 | 21 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIL | 29 | 11 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | @ PHX | 30 | 13 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs BOS | 35 | 25 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | @ LAC | 28 | 8 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | @ LAL | 34 | 22 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | vs DAL | 28 | 9 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs DET | 42 | 37 | 12-18 | 0-3 | 13-15 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | vs HOU | 40 | 27 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs POR | 35 | 15 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ POR | 35 | 33 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ MIN | 39 | 17 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/11 | vs DEN | 21 | 11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | @ IND | 36 | 20 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | vs PHX | 28 | 8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs LAC | 40 | 16 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs DEN | 40 | 22 | 8-26 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/07 | @ DET | 37 | 37 | 14-26 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 1.00 |
| 04/06 | @ CLE | 40 | 28 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ CHA | 27 | 22 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ WAS | 40 | 29 | 10-23 | 1-5 | 8-12 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | @ IND | 42 | 31 | 12-24 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | @ ORL | 29 | 21 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs POR | 37 | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs OKC | 38 | 10 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | vs BOS | 38 | 20 | 9-24 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/22 | vs MIL | 38 | 22 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | vs CHI | 36 | 22 | 9-22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs CLE | 36 | 27 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | vs MEM | 33 | 22 | 7-19 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ PHX | 34 | 23 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0.00 |