Damian Lillard
31
Points Stability
24.5
Median PTS
25.1
Mean PTS
0.27
CV
7.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
15.9
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
22.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
24.5
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
29.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
34.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
15
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
43
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/18 | @ GSW | 38 | 16 | 6-18 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | vs OKC | 29 | 19 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | vs IND | 37 | 25 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | vs LAL | 34 | 22 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/11 | @ IND | 37 | 15 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | vs CLE | 35 | 22 | 8-19 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs ORL | 36 | 26 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | vs DAL | 27 | 34 | 11-15 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | @ ATL | 36 | 23 | 9-18 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | @ DAL | 36 | 28 | 8-17 | 4-12 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | vs DEN | 35 | 19 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ HOU | 37 | 22 | 7-22 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | vs MIA | 38 | 28 | 9-17 | 5-12 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | vs LAC | 33 | 15 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | vs GSW | 39 | 38 | 12-20 | 3-9 | 11-13 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs PHI | 44 | 43 | 14-27 | 8-15 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ ATL | 35 | 23 | 7-19 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ CHA | 31 | 29 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | vs MEM | 37 | 15 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ SAS | 37 | 22 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | @ POR | 38 | 20 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | @ UTA | 41 | 35 | 14-22 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ LAC | 40 | 29 | 6-16 | 1-9 | 16-17 | 0.00 |
| 01/23 | vs MIA | 36 | 29 | 9-21 | 5-14 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | vs PHI | 40 | 25 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | vs TOR | 36 | 26 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 10-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | vs ORL | 30 | 30 | 13-19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1.00 |
| 01/14 | vs SAC | 35 | 24 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ NYK | 37 | 22 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ ORL | 40 | 29 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | vs SAS | 35 | 26 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | @ TOR | 26 | 25 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs POR | 37 | 16 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs BKN | 40 | 23 | 6-20 | 4-13 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ IND | 36 | 9 | 3-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |