Collin Sexton
45
Points Stability
19.0
Median PTS
19.1
Mean PTS
0.30
CV
6.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
13.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
16.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
19.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
22.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
26.1
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
30
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 50 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | @ UTA | 18 | 15 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | vs IND | 18 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs TOR | 24 | 22 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ OKC | 23 | 10 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | @ CHI | 20 | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | @ MIL | 27 | 16 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs GSW | 27 | 16 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs MIL | 19 | 16 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ ORL | 18 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs WAS | 16 | 12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs POR | 20 | 15 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 37 | 27 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ IND | 33 | 27 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 24 | 18 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ DEN | 23 | 20 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs HOU | 32 | 21 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs MEM | 18 | 15 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | vs CLE | 26 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | vs BOS | 36 | 30 | 12-16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs WAS | 19 | 18 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | @ MIN | 34 | 22 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | vs TOR | 20 | 8 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | @ MEM | 30 | 22 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | @ BOS | 33 | 16 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | @ TOR | 24 | 17 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/03 | vs DET | 20 | 16 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/28 | vs MIN | 17 | 13 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs IND | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | vs ORL | 31 | 22 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs MIN | 30 | 19 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | @ GSW | 34 | 30 | 12-19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs MIL | 27 | 19 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/25 | @ MEM | 30 | 20 | 5-17 | 1-8 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | @ OKC | 32 | 18 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | @ NOP | 32 | 24 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | vs BKN | 38 | 21 | 8-20 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 29 | 20 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs MIA | 29 | 23 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs ATL | 31 | 24 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ ORL | 26 | 20 | 6-18 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ MIA | 31 | 17 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | @ NYK | 31 | 25 | 10-13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/30 | vs DEN | 29 | 22 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs PHI | 31 | 20 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ POR | 27 | 19 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CLE | 36 | 24 | 10-22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/21 | @ BKN | 33 | 18 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/19 | @ DET | 36 | 30 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 12/16 | @ LAC | 24 | 15 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/13 | vs PHX | 24 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/08 | @ SAC | 23 | 15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/06 | @ POR | 23 | 16 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 12/03 | @ OKC | 28 | 17 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/01 | vs LAL | 29 | 15 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 11/30 | vs DAL | 30 | 13 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |