Collin Gillespie
4
Points Stability
11.0
Median PTS
10.3
Mean PTS
0.62
CV
8.8
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
1.8
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
6.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
11.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
15.3
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
17.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
19
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 10 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | @ MIA | 24 | 13 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | vs WAS | 29 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/09 | vs NYK | 28 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ MEM | 28 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ HOU | 25 | 11 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs OKC | 26 | 8 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs SAC | 26 | 15 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ CLE | 27 | 17 | 6-15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ WAS | 29 | 25 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/27 | @ NOP | 31 | 17 | 6-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ NOP | 35 | 16 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs LAL | 28 | 16 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ GSW | 35 | 16 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs GSW | 34 | 16 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | vs LAL | 37 | 10 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |