Colin Castleton
18
Points Stability
4.0
Median PTS
4.9
Mean PTS
0.86
CV
5.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
2.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
4.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
7.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
10.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
16
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/13 | @ SAS | 29 | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | vs ATL | 25 | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ WAS | 28 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/07 | @ MIA | 13 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/05 | vs MIN | 15 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 04/03 | vs MIL | 16 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/24 | @ WAS | 18 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | vs SAS | 24 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/20 | @ GSW | 19 | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/17 | @ PHX | 30 | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | @ POR | 27 | 8 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/14 | @ UTA | 24 | 13 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/12 | vs PHI | 40 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/10 | vs WAS | 27 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs WAS | 26 | 6 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | vs UTA | 23 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ PHX | 13 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | @ OKC | 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 12/13 | vs BKN | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/08 | @ WAS | 7 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/10 | @ POR | 7 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 11/08 | vs WAS | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 11/06 | vs LAL | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 11/02 | @ PHI | 1 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 10/31 | vs MIL | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |