Branden Carlson
20
Points Stability
3.0
Median PTS
4.4
Mean PTS
1.27
CV
4.3
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
0.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
0.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
3.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
4.8
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
11.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
0
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
26
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
2.5
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | vs MIA | 2 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/09 | @ MEM | 16 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs UTA | 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | vs CHA | 18 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | @ PHX | 7 | - | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/02 | @ GSW | 22 | 15 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs POR | 20 | 12 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs ATL | 11 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs PHI | 6 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/25 | vs SAS | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/23 | @ SAS | 3 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/22 | vs MEM | 25 | 11 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs LAC | 16 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/10 | vs PHX | 12 | 11 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 04/13 | @ NOP | 39 | 26 | 10-19 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 04/11 | @ UTA | 25 | 9 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | @ PHX | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/08 | vs LAL | 2 | - | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 04/04 | @ HOU | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/31 | vs CHI | 9 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/29 | vs IND | 13 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs MEM | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | @ SAC | 2 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 03/21 | vs CHA | 7 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs PHI | 23 | 16 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/07 | vs POR | 14 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/21 | @ UTA | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/10 | vs NOP | 6 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/08 | @ MEM | 1 | - | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 02/07 | vs TOR | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/23 | vs DAL | 4 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | vs UTA | 11 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | vs BKN | 18 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | @ DAL | 7 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/16 | vs CLE | 17 | 11 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |