Ace Bailey
34
Points Stability
8.0
Median PTS
11.3
Mean PTS
0.59
CV
6.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
7.2
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
7.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
8.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
13.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
16.8
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
7
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
19
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
1.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 30 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/28 | vs NOP | 30 | 13 | 4-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/26 | vs NOP | 29 | 23 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | @ HOU | 27 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ MEM | 33 | 20 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | vs POR | 35 | 15 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/11 | vs SAC | 31 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | @ MIA | 37 | 16 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ ORL | 31 | 10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ ATL | 40 | 20 | 9-26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | @ IND | 40 | 19 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/01 | @ TOR | 27 | 4 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/30 | vs BKN | 29 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | vs GSW | 34 | 19 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/27 | vs LAC | 29 | 20 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs MIA | 28 | 12 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/22 | vs SAS | 32 | 25 | 11-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/20 | vs MIN | 33 | 20 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 01/19 | @ SAS | 27 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/17 | @ DAL | 37 | 18 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/15 | @ DAL | 30 | 15 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | @ CHI | 31 | 10 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/12 | @ CLE | 15 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | @ OKC | 10 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | vs DET | 11 | - | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/23 | vs MEM | 29 | 17 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/22 | @ DEN | 24 | 10 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | vs ORL | 34 | 14 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | vs LAL | 26 | 19 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/15 | vs DAL | 24 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | @ MEM | 31 | 8 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |