Will Riley
18
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
7.0
Mean PTS
0.71
CV
5.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
3.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
4.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
7.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
9.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
11.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
12
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
5.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 15 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/14 | @ LAC | 27 | 12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/11 | @ PHX | 19 | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/06 | vs ORL | 12 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/04 | vs MIN | 14 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | vs BKN | 19 | 9 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | @ MIL | 12 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs PHX | 21 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/28 | vs MEM | 19 | - | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/26 | vs TOR | 16 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | @ CHA | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 12/21 | vs SAS | 17 | 8 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/20 | @ MEM | 11 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/18 | @ SAS | 17 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/14 | @ IND | 23 | 12 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/12 | vs CLE | 23 | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0.00 |