Pelle Larsson

Miami Heat

7
Points Stability
4.0
Median PTS
6.2
Mean PTS
0.90
CV
8.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 0.8 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 2.5 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 4.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 11.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 14.6 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 0 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 16 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 2.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
02/28 vs HOU 35 20 6-12 1-5 7-8 0.00
02/26 @ PHI 33 9 3-6 2-2 1-2 0.00
02/24 @ MIL 36 10 3-6 0-3 4-4 0.00
02/21 vs MEM 35 10 3-7 0-4 4-6 0.00
02/20 @ ATL 32 12 6-9 0-0 0-0 0.00
02/06 @ BOS 12 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
02/03 vs ATL 36 18 7-12 0-3 4-4 0.00
02/01 vs CHI 24 20 8-11 3-4 1-2 0.00
01/31 vs CHI 33 22 7-11 2-5 6-7 0.00
01/29 @ CHI 29 15 4-8 1-2 6-7 0.00
01/28 vs ORL 28 8 3-7 0-0 2-2 0.00
01/25 @ PHX 35 10 4-9 0-0 2-3 0.00
01/24 @ UTA 25 20 7-11 3-6 3-3 0.00
01/22 @ POR 29 6 3-5 0-2 0-0 0.00
01/20 @ SAC 26 16 7-9 0-1 2-3 0.00
01/19 @ GSW 28 9 3-7 0-1 3-4 0.00
01/17 vs OKC 30 16 7-15 0-3 2-4 0.00
01/15 vs BOS 30 7 2-6 0-3 3-4 0.00
01/13 vs PHX 27 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0.00
01/11 @ OKC 28 16 6-11 1-4 3-4 0.00