Nikola Jokić

Denver Nuggets

10 15 20 30 50 82
20
Points Stability
34.0
Median PTS
33.3
Mean PTS
0.32
CV
12.5
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 21.2 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 26.5 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 34.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 39.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 40.6 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 18 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 61 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 6.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
12/29 @ MIA 19 21 9-14 1-4 2-3 0.00
12/27 @ ORL 38 34 11-22 0-0 12-13 0.00
12/25 vs MIN 43 56 15-21 4-6 22-23 0.00
12/23 @ DAL 36 29 12-22 5-10 0-0 0.00
12/22 vs UTA 29 14 5-7 1-1 3-4 0.00
12/20 vs HOU 29 25 9-20 1-4 6-7 0.00
12/18 vs ORL 38 23 10-17 0-2 3-4 0.00
12/15 vs HOU 42 39 13-27 5-9 8-11 0.00
12/11 @ SAC 29 36 14-16 2-2 6-8 0.00
04/13 @ HOU 31 18 7-10 3-5 1-2 0.00
04/11 vs MEM 41 26 11-19 1-2 3-7 0.00
04/09 @ SAC 38 20 5-12 0-1 10-10 0.00
04/06 vs IND 39 41 18-33 3-11 2-3 0.00
04/04 @ GSW 37 33 13-17 4-7 3-3 0.00
04/01 vs MIN 53 61 18-29 6-11 19-24 0.00
03/28 vs UTA 32 27 8-18 1-5 10-12 0.00
03/26 vs MIL 38 39 16-25 3-6 4-7 0.00
03/15 vs WAS 39 40 16-30 1-8 7-7 0.00
03/14 vs LAL 38 28 8-16 0-4 12-17 0.00
03/12 vs MIN 38 34 13-23 2-6 6-8 0.00