Dru Smith

Miami Heat

10 15 20 30 50 82
7
Points Stability
7.0
Median PTS
7.2
Mean PTS
0.60
CV
8.0
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 2.0 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 3.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 7.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 11.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 12.2 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 0 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 13 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 4.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
01/13 vs PHX 9 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0.00
01/11 @ OKC 17 6 2-3 0-0 2-4 0.00
01/10 @ IND 12 8 2-2 1-1 3-3 0.00
01/06 @ MIN 6 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0.00
01/04 vs NOP 19 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0.00
01/03 vs MIN 14 6 2-6 0-1 2-2 0.00
01/01 @ DET 15 9 3-4 1-2 2-2 0.00
12/29 vs DEN 21 11 4-6 2-4 1-1 0.00
12/27 vs IND 23 5 2-6 1-2 0-0 0.00
12/26 @ ATL 19 6 2-8 0-3 2-2 0.00
12/23 vs TOR 17 10 3-4 1-2 3-3 0.00
12/21 @ NYK 18 9 2-4 1-1 4-4 0.00
12/19 @ BOS 21 7 2-10 0-4 3-5 0.00
12/18 @ BKN 24 3 1-8 0-6 1-1 0.00
12/15 vs TOR 20 11 4-8 1-2 2-3 0.00
12/09 @ ORL 8 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0.00
12/23 vs BKN 7 - 0-1 0-0 0-0 1.00
12/21 @ ORL 26 13 4-8 2-4 3-4 0.00
12/20 vs OKC 30 13 5-6 3-4 0-0 0.00
12/16 @ DET 31 7 2-4 1-2 2-2 0.00