Daniel Gafford
2
Points Stability
11.0
Median PTS
11.3
Mean PTS
0.55
CV
10.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
4.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
6.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
11.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
16.5
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
19.2
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
2
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
22
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
6.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 15 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01 | vs OKC | 22 | 8 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | vs MEM | 20 | 14 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0.00 |
| 02/24 | @ BKN | 17 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 02/22 | @ IND | 22 | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | @ MIN | 24 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/12 | @ LAL | 28 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | @ PHX | 17 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ SAS | 18 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | vs SAS | 33 | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/03 | vs BOS | 25 | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ HOU | 28 | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/29 | vs CHA | 25 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/28 | vs MIN | 21 | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/24 | vs LAL | 16 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/14 | vs DEN | 18 | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/10 | @ CHI | 25 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | @ UTA | 25 | - | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1.00 |
| 01/06 | @ SAC | 22 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | vs HOU | 19 | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 01/01 | vs PHI | 11 | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.00 |