Damian Lillard

Milwaukee Bucks

22
Points Stability
22.0
Median PTS
23.5
Mean PTS
0.28
CV
8.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 15.4 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 19.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 22.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 27.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 31.6 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 15 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 38 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 4.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
03/18 @ GSW 38 16 6-18 2-9 2-4 0.00
03/16 vs OKC 29 19 3-9 2-4 11-11 0.00
03/15 vs IND 37 25 7-15 6-12 5-5 0.00
03/13 vs LAL 34 22 6-14 2-8 8-8 0.00
03/11 @ IND 37 15 4-14 2-7 5-6 0.00
03/09 vs CLE 35 22 8-19 1-7 5-6 0.00
03/08 vs ORL 36 26 9-18 4-9 4-4 0.00
03/05 vs DAL 27 34 11-15 5-8 7-7 0.00
03/04 @ ATL 36 23 9-18 2-10 3-3 0.00
03/01 @ DAL 36 28 8-17 4-12 8-8 0.00
02/27 vs DEN 35 19 5-9 3-6 6-6 0.00
02/25 @ HOU 37 22 7-22 4-11 4-5 0.00
02/23 vs MIA 38 28 9-17 5-12 5-6 0.00
02/20 vs LAC 33 15 2-12 2-8 9-10 0.00
02/10 vs GSW 39 38 12-20 3-9 11-13 0.00
02/09 vs PHI 44 43 14-27 8-15 7-7 0.00
02/07 @ ATL 35 23 7-19 4-13 5-5 0.00
02/05 @ CHA 31 29 9-18 3-9 8-9 0.00
02/02 vs MEM 37 15 4-15 2-8 5-6 0.00
01/31 @ SAS 37 22 6-17 3-7 7-7 0.00