Damian Lillard
22
Points Stability
22.0
Median PTS
23.5
Mean PTS
0.28
CV
8.0
IQR
Efficiency-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
15.4
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
19.0
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
22.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
27.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
31.6
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
15
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
38
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
4.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 15 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/18 | @ GSW | 38 | 16 | 6-18 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/16 | vs OKC | 29 | 19 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 0.00 |
| 03/15 | vs IND | 37 | 25 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 03/13 | vs LAL | 34 | 22 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 03/11 | @ IND | 37 | 15 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/09 | vs CLE | 35 | 22 | 8-19 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/08 | vs ORL | 36 | 26 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/05 | vs DAL | 27 | 34 | 11-15 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 03/04 | @ ATL | 36 | 23 | 9-18 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/01 | @ DAL | 36 | 28 | 8-17 | 4-12 | 8-8 | 0.00 |
| 02/27 | vs DEN | 35 | 19 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/25 | @ HOU | 37 | 22 | 7-22 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/23 | vs MIA | 38 | 28 | 9-17 | 5-12 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 02/20 | vs LAC | 33 | 15 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 02/10 | vs GSW | 39 | 38 | 12-20 | 3-9 | 11-13 | 0.00 |
| 02/09 | vs PHI | 44 | 43 | 14-27 | 8-15 | 7-7 | 0.00 |
| 02/07 | @ ATL | 35 | 23 | 7-19 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 02/05 | @ CHA | 31 | 29 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 0.00 |
| 02/02 | vs MEM | 37 | 15 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 01/31 | @ SAS | 37 | 22 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 0.00 |