Collin Sexton
38
Points Stability
18.0
Median PTS
19.1
Mean PTS
0.32
CV
6.5
IQR
Minutes-driven
Volatility Driver
Points Distribution
P10
12.0
10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25
15.5
25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50
18.0
Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75
22.0
75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90
27.0
90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min
8
Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max
30
Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD
3.0
Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.
Points Over Last 15 Games
Prop Line Analysis
Recent Scoring
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | FG | 3P | FT | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | @ UTA | 18 | 15 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/08 | vs IND | 18 | 11 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 01/07 | vs TOR | 24 | 22 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0.00 |
| 01/05 | @ OKC | 23 | 10 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0.00 |
| 01/03 | @ CHI | 20 | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 0.00 |
| 01/02 | @ MIL | 27 | 16 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0.00 |
| 12/31 | vs GSW | 27 | 16 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 0.00 |
| 12/29 | vs MIL | 19 | 16 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0.00 |
| 12/26 | @ ORL | 18 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 12/23 | vs WAS | 16 | 12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 04/09 | vs POR | 20 | 15 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0.00 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 37 | 27 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 0.00 |
| 04/04 | @ IND | 33 | 27 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 0.00 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 24 | 18 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0.00 |
| 03/28 | @ DEN | 23 | 20 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0.00 |
| 03/27 | vs HOU | 32 | 21 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0.00 |
| 03/25 | vs MEM | 18 | 15 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 0.00 |
| 03/23 | vs CLE | 26 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/21 | vs BOS | 36 | 30 | 12-16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0.00 |
| 03/19 | vs WAS | 19 | 18 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0.00 |