AJ Johnson

Dallas Mavericks

10 15 20 30 50 82
25
Points Stability
9.0
Median PTS
10.5
Mean PTS
0.54
CV
6.0
IQR
Mixed
Volatility Driver

Points Distribution

P10 4.0 10th percentile: Player scores above this in 90% of games. Useful for setting conservative "floor" expectations.
P25 8.0 25th percentile: Player scores above this in 75% of games. Represents a "bad night" baseline.
P50 9.0 Median (50th percentile): The middle value - player scores above this exactly half the time. More reliable than mean for prop betting.
P75 14.0 75th percentile: Player scores above this in 25% of games. Represents a "good night" threshold.
P90 18.2 90th percentile: Player scores above this in only 10% of games. Identifies ceiling/blowup potential.
Min 0 Minimum: Lowest score in this window. Shows worst-case scenario - useful for assessing downside risk.
Max 20 Maximum: Highest score in this window. Shows ceiling potential when everything clicks.
MAD 3.0 Median Absolute Deviation: Average distance from the median. Lower = more consistent. Less sensitive to outliers than standard deviation.

Points Over Last 15 Games

Prop Line Analysis

Recent Scoring

Date Opp MIN PTS FG 3P FT PPM
02/27 vs MEM 34 12 3-13 1-8 5-6 0.00
02/26 vs SAC 15 11 4-4 1-1 2-2 0.00
02/24 @ BKN 1 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
02/20 @ MIN 5 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0.00
02/12 @ LAL 3 - 0-1 0-0 0-0 1.00
02/07 @ SAS 7 - 0-4 0-2 0-0 1.00
02/03 vs NYK 24 14 4-8 1-1 5-6 0.00
02/01 vs SAC 27 17 7-13 2-5 1-2 0.00
01/16 @ SAC 11 4 2-6 0-2 0-0 0.00
01/14 @ LAC 3 - 0-2 0-2 0-0 1.00
01/11 @ PHX 10 - 0-6 0-1 0-0 1.00
01/09 vs NOP 16 6 3-6 0-1 0-0 0.00
01/07 @ PHI 20 6 3-9 0-2 0-0 0.00
01/06 vs ORL 6 - 0-1 0-0 0-0 1.00
01/04 vs MIN 13 5 2-5 1-2 0-0 0.00
01/02 vs BKN 14 3 1-6 1-3 0-0 0.00
12/31 @ MIL 16 8 3-5 2-3 0-0 0.00
12/29 vs PHX 1 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
12/26 vs TOR 3 - 0-0 0-0 0-0 1.00
12/23 @ CHA 2 - 0-1 0-0 0-0 1.00